It's always nice to hear good news about American progress. Even better to know that the right hand is steering the ship. Definitely good news on the heels of hurricane sandy - and even better news heading into the holidays. These numbers are indicators of quite possibly a very strong Q4...
It's always nice to hear good news about American progress. Even better to know that the right hand is steering the ship. Definitely good news on the heels of hurricane sandy - and even better news heading into the holidays. These numbers are indicators of quite possibly a very strong Q4...
Job well done Mr. President...
How date he take a vacation when the unemployment rate is plummeting like this!
The unemployment rate - which fell to 7.7% in November, down from 7.9% in October - has fallen in fits and starts over the past three years, since peaking at 10% in late 2008, but still remains some way short of the 5% level that has accompanied periods of healthy growth in the past two decades.
The total number of unemployed people remained largely unchanged in the latest month at about 12 million, as did the number of people out of work for over half a year, at 4.8 million. The number of people taking part-time jobs because they cannot find full-time work also remained unchanged at 8.2 million.
Statistics suggest that much of the decline in the unemployment rate since 2008 has been due to people dropping out of the workforce, either due to retirement or because they have given up seeking work.
The unemployment figure only includes those actively seeking a job, and once people stop doing so they drop out of the statistics.
Hopefully those specific figures also start to move in the right direction as well!!
Art of CIP
Posts: 21,234
Long Beach, California, US
JessieLeigh wrote:
Hopefully those specific figures also start to move in the right direction as well!!
If you will recall, that number was as high as 14 million not too long ago. In all reality, do you really expect to see a noticeable dent in 12 million in one month?
"While the media pants with exhilaration over a dip in the unemployment level that was created by over a half-million people giving up and dropping out of the workforce, a deep-dive into the employment numbers also reveals that it's mainly government workers benefitting from what meager job growth we are seeing. Over the last five months, 73% of all jobs created were government jobs. Moreover, the unemployment rate for government workers plunged to 3.8% in November -- which is considered full employment."
"Statistics suggest that much of the decline in the unemployment rate since 2008 has been due to people dropping out of the workforce, either due to retirement or because they have given up seeking work.
The unemployment figure only includes those actively seeking a job, and once people stop doing so they drop out of the statistics."
Only a brainwashed liberal would see any of this as something "good".
Peter Claver
Posts: 26,657
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Lightcraft Studio wrote:
From your linked article:
"Statistics suggest that much of the decline in the unemployment rate since 2008 has been due to people dropping out of the workforce, either due to retirement or because they have given up seeking work.
The unemployment figure only includes those actively seeking a job, and once people stop doing so they drop out of the statistics."
Only a brainwashed liberal would see any of this as something "good".
So you were one of the guys that thought that the recent uptick in unemployment due to people *re-entering* the workforce was something "good"... right?
"Statistics suggest that much of the decline in the unemployment rate since 2008 has been due to people dropping out of the workforce, either due to retirement or because they have given up seeking work.
The unemployment figure only includes those actively seeking a job, and once people stop doing so they drop out of the statistics."
Only a brainwashed liberal would see any of this as something "good".
I was wondering when someone was going to spin this to crap all over it.
Last month, it was "manipulated" so that Obama would get re-elected. They told us it would be back up over 8% this month. But now it's just "everyone quit looking".
So you were one of the guys that thought that the recent uptick in unemployment due to people *re-entering* the workforce was something "good"... right?
People re-entering the workforce is good, people dropping out and giving up is bad.
Art of CIP
Posts: 21,234
Long Beach, California, US
Lightcraft Studio wrote:
From your linked article:
"Statistics suggest that much of the decline in the unemployment rate since 2008 has been due to people dropping out of the workforce, either due to retirement or because they have given up seeking work.
The unemployment figure only includes those actively seeking a job, and once people stop doing so they drop out of the statistics."
Only a brainwashed liberal would see any of this as something "good".
Watch this y'all:
Hey lightcraft, how many people retired in the last 4 years?
Peter Claver
Posts: 26,657
Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Lightcraft Studio wrote:
People re-entering the workforce is good, people dropping out and giving up is bad.
I hope that clears things up for you.
The number of people "not in the workforce" has been going up pretty steadily for the last 30 years. In fact.. I don't think that there is more than a handful of years in which that number went down since 1980. So.. to you every year has been bad since 1980?
The number of people "not in the workforce" has been going up pretty steadily for the last 30 years. In fact.. I don't think that there is more than a handful of years in which that number went down since 1980. So.. to you every year has been bad since 1980?
Would you care to back that up with some data from somewhere?
Hey lightcraft, how many people retired in the last 4 years?
Wait for it....
How many people entered the workforce in the last 4 years... people graduating college or becoming of age to work, or immigrating here from across the border?
you can change the start date to 1980 (or whatever date you like).
Those are seasonally adjusted numbers too.
1980 US population 226.5M not in workforce 60M 26.5%
2009 (January) US pop 308.7M not in workforce 80.5M 26.0%
2012 (November) US pop 312.8M not in workforce 88.8M 28.4%
So yes, the people not in the workforce (as a % of total) has gone up... since Obama took office. It was actually down slightly (since 1980 at least) by the end of GWB's second term.. but is now skyrocketing.
The numbers of people on welfare, unemployment and "disability" is hitting new records every month now... which I suppose liberals think is a great thing (guaranteed voters).
Art of CIP
Posts: 21,234
Long Beach, California, US
Lightcraft Studio wrote:
How many people entered the workforce in the last 4 years... people graduating college or becoming of age to work, or immigrating here from across the border?
Still waiting for it...
Watch this y'all:
Hey lightcraft, how many people retired in the last 4 years?
As quantified, and explained by Alexander, "the single mom is better off earnings gross income of $29,000 with $57,327 in net income & benefits than to earn gross income of $69,000 with net income and benefits of $57,045."
Art of CIP
Posts: 21,234
Long Beach, California, US
I would like to take a moment and say thank you to our resident neocons. I made a bet that they would be angered by today's report. Now I get an easy 20$...
Hey lightcraft, how many people retired in the last 4 years?
Wait for it....
I can think of three in SB.
Some retirements are planned others caused by layoffs, closures etc and it is difficult for those over 50 to find employment, especially if they do not have a job at the time so not all those retirements are voluntary. That is one reason why a lot of folks over 50 start their own business.
It's always nice to hear good news about American progress. Even better to know that the right hand is steering the ship. Definitely good news on the heels of hurricane sandy - and even better news heading into the holidays. These numbers are indicators of quite possibly a very strong Q4...
Job well done Mr. President...
Is it really as good as it sounds? The BLS revised downward the numbers for the last two months by a total of 49,000 jobs. But here is the real key:
"Statistics suggest that much of the decline in the unemployment rate since 2008 has been due to people dropping out of the workforce, either due to retirement or because they have given up seeking work.
The unemployment figure only includes those actively seeking a job, and once people stop doing so they drop out of the statistics."
In other words, it's not nearly as good as it sounds.
Compared to a year ago, the number of people that want a job but aren't in the labor force is up by 300,000.
And that part confuses me. I understand giving up looking for work. But...what are you surviving on? Welfare? mooching off relatives? Early retirement? How do people just...stop looking for work?
Is it people that run OUT Of unemployment and still can't find work? If you're not collecting unemployment and you haven't found a job (pretend you're looking), how doesn't the gov't know about you?
Hall Photo
Posts: 12,331
Boston, Massachusetts, US
Instinct Images wrote: Is it really as good as it sounds? The BLS revised downward the numbers for the last two months by a total of 49,000 jobs. But here is the real key:
The market seems to think so. Net of revisions, the payrolls number was a little better than expected.
Instinct Images wrote: "Statistics suggest that much of the decline in the unemployment rate since 2008 has been due to people dropping out of the workforce, either due to retirement or because they have given up seeking work.
The unemployment figure only includes those actively seeking a job, and once people stop doing so they drop out of the statistics."
In other words, it's not nearly as good as it sounds.
No one number conveys the health of the labor market perfectly. But the unemployment rate does convey the approximate chance at the margin of finding a job should one enter the labor force looking for one. In that sense, it's as good as it sounds.
The labor force participation rate is about half as bad as it sounds. Research shows that demographics will keep it from improving with the economy.
Instinct Images wrote: Compared to a year ago, the number of people that want a job but aren't in the labor force is up by 300,000.
It's tricky to directly compare household survey stats before January, when they incorporated the latest Census data. Note that in January, the population supposedly shot up 1.685 million in a month. Even so, compared to a year ago, the number of employed rose 2.648 million, and the number of unemployed fell 1.294 mln. That more than makes up for 300k NILFWAJNs.
Hall Photo
Posts: 12,331
Boston, Massachusetts, US
Christopher Hartman wrote: And that part confuses me. I understand giving up looking for work. But...what are you surviving on? Welfare? mooching off relatives? Early retirement? How do people just...stop looking for work?
Some of the above, some go to school, some may have been only saying they're working because they want to keep unemployment (and think they'd better say they are to the BLS surveyor just to be safe, even though he has nothing to do with it).
Christopher Hartman wrote: Is it people that run OUT Of unemployment and still can't find work? If you're not collecting unemployment and you haven't found a job (pretend you're looking), how doesn't the gov't know about you?
ASYLUM - Photo
Posts: 37,813
Washington, District of Columbia, US
Ok, so there's no hiring happening, and corporate profits are doing well.
Sounds like we're probably not going to get much better than this any time soon, if ever. The economy has changed. If you want to blame Obama, go for it, but I think people need to start accepting these sorts of numbers.
Hall Photo
Posts: 12,331
Boston, Massachusetts, US
Tonic Dog Studios wrote: As quantified, and explained by Alexander, "the single mom is better off earnings gross income of $29,000 with $57,327 in net income & benefits than to earn gross income of $69,000 with net income and benefits of $57,045."
Holy crap. $15k for childcare in addition to CHIP? This I gotta see.
As quantified, and explained by Alexander, "the single mom is better off earnings gross income of $29,000 with $57,327 in net income & benefits than to earn gross income of $69,000 with net income and benefits of $57,045."
A difference of $300 over the course of a year for a family of four.
I'm not going to be outraged about that. $57000 for a family of four is rough.
Hall Photo
Posts: 12,331
Boston, Massachusetts, US
What Fun Productions wrote: "While the media pants with exhilaration over a dip in the unemployment level that was created by over a half-million people giving up and dropping out of the workforce, a deep-dive into the employment numbers also reveals that it's mainly government workers benefitting from what meager job growth we are seeing. Over the last five months, 73% of all jobs created were government jobs. Moreover, the unemployment rate for government workers plunged to 3.8% in November -- which is considered full employment."
Hah, a deep dive indeed. I think their math is wrong on the number who left the workforce, but that was payback for an unusually large reportedly joining the work force in the prior two months. The government figures apparently come from the household survey, which nobody looks at for a sectoral breakdown because of its smaller sample size. Needless to say, the five-month period is cherry-picked as starting at a time when the number of government workers had sharply declined (almost 700k in four months). Even by the household survey, the number of government workers is lower than where it started the year, while total employment is up 1.625 million.
By the more reliable establishment survey, the number of government workers rose 34k in the last five months, while the total number of nonfarm workers rose 789k.
SensualThemes
Posts: 3,018
Swoyersville, Pennsylvania, US
Good Egg Productions wrote:
I was wondering when someone was going to spin this to crap all over it.
Last month, it was "manipulated" so that Obama would get re-elected. They told us it would be back up over 8% this month. But now it's just "everyone quit looking".
Whatever. You hate Obama. I get it.
Umm....the quote is from YOUR article that YOU provided as evidence. Seems (since we know there's an article out there that shares your view) you failed in choosing an article that was too unbiased not to cheer that people have given up hope.
T
Posts: 53,533
Washington, District of Columbia, US
Good Egg Productions wrote:
I was wondering when someone was going to spin this to crap all over it.
Last month, it was "manipulated" so that Obama would get re-elected. They told us it would be back up over 8% this month. But now it's just "everyone quit looking".