Watching NBC’s Meet the Press this past Sunday. The conversation turned to the Fiscal Cliff when Lindsay (Republican, South Carolina) said (paraphrasing) that the GOP would use the nation’s debt ceiling as leverage in future talks and negotiations.
President Reagan made it clear on his feelings about the debt ceiling when he said: “You don’t mess with the full faith and credit of the United States.” Evidentially some present day Republicans feel otherwise as it appears that they are willing to trash the country’s credit rating to earn political points with their base, i.e., the Tea Party faction of the GOP.
For the record, approving the nation’s debt ceiling involves money the country has already borrowed and spent. Failure to approve the next debt ceiling will send the markets into a nosedive, and could possibly send the country into another recession. This is much like you getting angry because you put $50,000.00 on your credit card so you decide not to pay the bill in order to fix the problem, and to teach yourself a lesson.
The bottom line is damaging the credit of the United States will be costly – in the extreme. What, you think that damaging the country’s credit will have a positive result and stop the country from borrowing money? No, we will keep borrowing money, it will just cost us more.
The country living via deficit spending? The vast majority of us do. That is unless you are a person who can pay all his debts, mortgage, cars, credit cards, etc., by writing a check.
If the GOP/Tea Party (a) takes us over the Fiscal Cliff and/or (b) damages the credit of the USA I will guarantee the party massive losses in 2014 and 2016.
The positive side of that scenario is that the end of the Tea Party movement will be over – permanently.
So you believe in business as usual then? What about hope and change? Which is it?
When do you stop borrowing? When we are a copy of Greece or Spain?
Simply asked, how do you plan to put our fiscal house in order? You never seem to offer a solution so here is your chance. How would you fix this mess? Do you have any plan? Anything? Anything realistic?
We are waiting.....it's your chance to lead. So lead.
sublime LightWorks wrote: So you believe in business as usual then? What about hope and change? Which is it?
When do you stop borrowing? When we are a copy of Greece or Spain?
Simply asked, how do you plan to put our fiscal house in order? You never seem to offer a solution so here is your chance. How would you fix this mess? Do you have any plan? Anything? Anything realistic?
We are waiting.....it's your chance to lead. So lead.
First and foremost, Greece got itself into its present sticky financial situation due to severe austerity. Simply, they thought not spending money along with severe spending cuts was the correct path. It was not.
How to put our fiscal house in order? As usual you want a 100% fix to a complex problem. Nonetheless, I would begin by cutting spending by eliminating spending that does not benefit the nation as a whole. I.e., subsides to big oil and farm subsidies as two examples.
As I said there are no 100% answer to a complex problem. One economist suggested that one quick fix would be to cut all spending by around 42%. That would work for you I am sure -- until military spending was included in that number.
Business as usual? You seemed comfortable with that when Bush and the GOP took a balanced budget and money in the bank and turned it into a recession.
The Signature Image wrote: First and foremost, Greece got itself into its present sticky financial situation due to severe austerity. Simply, they thought not spending money along with severe spending cuts was the correct path. It was not.
You know, I have to wonder where you get information from.
Greece got itself into its present sticky financial situation due to spending money it didn't have over an extended period of time. The only people who seem to disagree that financial austerity is the solution to the disaster they spent themselves into are those who believe that spending worthless paper somehow keeps an economy afloat. The IMF, World Bank, and the people who are actually stuck financing this disaster that Greece has spent itself into are all in favor of austerity. Now, the people of Greece don't like it much. But then again, they've been living beyond their means for a decade or more.
The Signature Image wrote: Business as usual? You seemed comfortable with that when Bush and the GOP took a balanced budget and money in the bank and turned it into a recession.
That is funny you talk about the balanced budget in the 90's but you want to keep on Obama's plan of spending over a trillion dollars a year above what is taken in. We need spending cuts far more then a rise in taxes but I say we go 3 fold: Spending cuts across the board including defense, Cut loopholes in the tax code caped at 50,000, and tax hike back up to 39.6.
If you really want to do it right you scrape the tax code and put the FairTax plan into action. It's the closes to a fair plan then anything else out there.
We seriously NEED to go over the fiscal cliff. It forces us to then seek "reality" in future fiscal planning. Dumby Democrats are SO bend on spend and tax that it is ingrained in there party's demeanor. They can't shake it (but they sure do fake it).
There is ONLY one answer. Reduce spending... period.
Michael Bots
Posts: 4,096
Kingston, Ontario, Canada
The Signature Image wrote: For the record, approving the nation’s debt ceiling involves money the country has already borrowed and spent. Failure to approve the next debt ceiling will send the markets into a nosedive, and could possibly send the country into another recession. This is much like you getting angry because you put $50,000.00 on your credit card so you decide not to pay the bill in order to fix the problem, and to teach yourself a lesson.
The debt ceiling involves money the country plans to borrow and spend in the future.
It's more like borrowing $50,000.00 on your credit card and getting angry because they won't give you a $60,000.00 limit while you spend $140 for every $100 you earn after already agreeing you won't go past $50,000.00 and with no sign of any increasing earning potential. (flat GDP growth)
SensualThemes
Posts: 3,018
Swoyersville, Pennsylvania, US
Reagan was right. You are wrong.
The deficit was always crazy...even in the 80s. However it was a small fraction of the GDP...which in simple terms is our nation's income
Today, the debt is so absurd and our drunken sailors...uuh leaders are pushing for more.
Mr hope and change, the bush debt was criminal wants unilateral control to obligate us to MORE DEBT.
When your debt to income becomes equal or worse...it is a problem
Pushing this line WILL mess with the faith and credit of the US
(Here's a hint...when you borrow half of what u spend...or borrow to pay debt....you may have a problem)
sublime LightWorks wrote: When do you stop borrowing?
Let us not forget that it isn't that many years ago that we had a budget surplus. Republicans are the ones that complain about the deficit, but in the modern era, they are the most responsible for using having it. Beginning with Ronald Reagan, republicans brought in large deficits and then subsequent democratic administrations were blamed for not taming them.
To be fair, while Obama inherited a $1.4T deficit from Bush, he has done his share of spending to try to stimulate the economy. He has cut taxes for everyone and put in infrastructure programs. He also had TARP and the other things that he got from Bush.
I think you stop borrowing when the economy is back on its feet and no longer needs propping up. Then you put in plans to get the deficit under control through increased revenue (which doesn't necessarily mean rate hikes) and moderation in spending.
The debt ceiling has nothing to do with it. The debt ceiling is just a lever for the right to use to try to get cuts in programs they have hated for years.
Monad Studios
Posts: 8,947
Santa Rosa, California, US
Michael Bots wrote: The debt ceiling involves money the country plans to borrow and spend in the future.
Not just money that the country plans to borrow and spend, but money that the country has already committed by law to borrowing and spending. I agree about limiting the debt, but Congress can't pass budgets that require borrowing and then refuse to do the borrowing.
ei Total Productions wrote: Let us not forget that it isn't that many years ago that we had a budget surplus.
Actually, we haven't had a budget surplus since before the Great Depression. Not really.
The only reason the claim is made that we had a surplus during the Clinton years is because the interest on the debt is not included in the budget.
Look at the National Debt in real dollars (not as a percentage of GDP). If we had a real surplus (not a bookkeeping entry or a projection) than you should see the debt go down.
Actually, we haven't had a budget surplus since before the Great Depression. Not really.
The only reason the claim is made that we had a surplus during the Clinton years is because the interest on the debt is not included in the budget.
Look at the National Debt in real dollars (not as a percentage of GDP). If we had a real surplus (not a bookkeeping entry or a projection) than you should see the debt go down.
Good luck with that.
The budget surplus had nothing to do with the debt. It simply means that more money was coming in than was going out. If the surplus had been applied to the debt, then the interest on the debt would have been reduced. If we had continued down that road for the last dozen years, the economy could have been much stronger. Instead, the incoming Bush Administration wanted tax cuts to reduce revenue, while funding two wars.
SensualThemes
Posts: 3,018
Swoyersville, Pennsylvania, US
Monad Studios wrote: Not just money that the country plans to borrow and spend, but money that the country has already committed by law to borrowing and spending. I agree about limiting the debt, but Congress can't pass budgets that require borrowing and then refuse to do the borrowing.
Well, since we haven't had a budget since before Obama took office, there is no budgeted spending...so there shouldn't be any spending going on with or without borrowing
not that our leaders do anything the right way....the debt ceiling is a game of chicken with our future...
Raising the debt ceiling isn't all that great for the US credit rating either. Credit ratings for individuals and countries are pretty much determined the same way. One of the major factors is the "income-to-debt" ratio. For a country, once your spending exceeds your tax revenue, your credit starts to develop a certain amount of ugliness.
Borrowing or printing more money hurts the US credit rating. A balanced budget would improve it. It's pretty simple really.
That is funny you talk about the balanced budget in the 90's but you want to keep on Obama's plan of spending over a trillion dollars a year above what is taken in. We need spending cuts far more then a rise in taxes but I say we go 3 fold: Spending cuts across the board including defense, Cut loopholes in the tax code caped at 50,000, and tax hike back up to 39.6.
If you really want to do it right you scrape the tax code and put the FairTax plan into action. It's the closes to a fair plan then anything else out there.
When Obama took office the debt was around 10 trillion. He has increased it by half that amount.
"Obama's plan"? You act as if Obama is spending money for grins and giggles? The nation has bills. We don't have the cash on hand to pay the bills so we borrow the money. Obama did not run-up the money on the nation's credit card. He inherited the credit card bills.
There is a choice. The GOP could refuse to increase the debt limit. The nation would default on its bills.
Beyond Vanilla wrote: Raising the debt ceiling isn't all that great for the US credit rating either. Credit ratings for individuals and countries are pretty much determined the same way. One of the major factors is the "income-to-debt" ratio. For a country, once your spending exceeds your tax revenue, your credit starts to develop a certain amount of ugliness.
Borrowing or printing more money hurts the US credit rating. A balanced budget would improve it. It's pretty simple really.
Simple? The US had an A credit rating until the GOP threatened not to raise the debt ceiling as which time our rating went to -A I believe?
People/nations who borrow money and repay the money as scheduled maintain an excellent credit rating.
ZingArts wrote: We seriously NEED to go over the fiscal cliff. It forces us to then seek "reality" in future fiscal planning. Dumby Democrats are SO bend on spend and tax that it is ingrained in there party's demeanor. They can't shake it (but they sure do fake it).
There is ONLY one answer. Reduce spending... period.
Yeah, like Republicans don't spend? I suggest you go back a bit to the George Bush era and track what he and his Republican fellows spent -- without the means to pay for the spending.
Over the cliff? I hope so. The president will benefit as he can then send a tax reduction bill to the floor that cuts taxes for the 98%. This leaves the GOP in the position of (a) voting with the president or (b) voting against a tax cut for the middle class with the excuse "We want tax cuts for all."
The tax breaks for the wealthy expire automatically in January anyway, so there's no fight over that and the president wins -- period.
The Signature Image wrote: The tax breaks for the wealthy expire automatically in January anyway, so there's no fight over that and the president wins -- period.
Wins what?
Taxing the top 2% DOES ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to solve our financial problems.
I hope we do go over the "Fiscal Cliff". Perhaps then our idiot liberal friends will discover they actually do prefer keeping the money they earn and demand that we cut unnecessary spending programs.
The Signature Image wrote: Simple? The US had an A credit rating until the GOP threatened not to raise the debt ceiling as which time our rating went to -A I believe?
People/nations who borrow money and repay the money as scheduled maintain an excellent credit rating.
Are you suggesting that the credit rating of the US has no bearing on the amount of money that we print and/or borrow and that our ability to repay the debt isn't a consideration? It seems like that's your opinion. If so, it's wrong. Credit ratings are something lenders look at...the same as if you applied for a mortgage. Going deeper into debt, doesn't improve a credit rating. Printing more money doesn't improve a credit rating. Balancing a budget would help. Spending less helps. Borrowing less helps. Being solvent helps.
Your statement, "The US had an A credit rating until the GOP threatened not to raise the debt ceiling as which time our rating went to -A I believe?" clearly indicates that you have no clue as to what you are talking about. However, that doesn't prevent you from blaming the Republicans. S&P cut the United States to AA-plus from AAA on August 5, 2011...and because of discussions to raise the debt limit. Moody's and Fitch both currently rate the US as either AAA and Aaa respectively.
Here's some quotes from people who really understand this stuff...
"If no budget deal is reached in the early part of next year and the debt trajectory just continues to rise ... then we'd be looking at a downgrade of a notch to Aa1," ~Bart Oosterveld, managing director for Moody's sovereign risk group.
"Temporary measures to stave off the budget shock without a credible strategy for the years beyond could earn the country a downgrade." "The country needs a combination of increased revenue and reduced spending"
~David Riley, managing director for sovereign ratings at Fitch.
"In the absence of a sustainable, coherent medium-term vision for the U.S. federal budget, which has produced deficits above $1 trillion in each of the last four years, the rating will fall. "
~Reuters.
"No pecuniary consideration is more urgent than the regular redemption and discharge of the public debt; on none can delay be more injurious, or an economy of time more valuable."
~George Washington
“Then I say the earth belongs to each of these generations during it’s course, fully, and in their own right. The 2d. generation receives it clear of the debts and incumbrances of the 1st., the 3d. of the 2d. and so on. For if the 1st. could charge it with a debt, then the earth would belong to the dead and not the living generation. Then no generation can contract debts greater than may be paid during the course of it’s own existence.”
~Thomas Jefferson
"The National Debt stood at $10.626 trillion the day Mr. Obama was inaugurated. The Bureau of Public Debt reported today that the National Debt had hit an all time high of $13.665 trillion. The Debt increased $4.9 trillion during President Bush's two terms. The Administration has projected the National Debt will soar in Mr. Obama's fourth year in office to nearly $16.5-trillion in 2012. That's more than 100 percent of the value of the nation's economy and $5.9-trillion above what it was his first day on the job."
~Mark Knoller CBS News October 18, 2010
"The best time to get started addressing the problem was 10 years ago. There’s still time to fix it. But ignoring the problem — just like hanging up on the debt collector — is not a great way to go.”
~Ben Bernanke Federal Reserve Chairman (2007 statement to Congress).
Moody's continues to be focused on our $16+ trillion in debt. If Congress and the president can't figure out a way to stabilize and eventually reduce the debt, now at $16 trillion, Moody's will likely cut the United States' current Aaa rating.
What Fun Productions wrote: My wish is that President Obama shows some leadership skills and this matter is solved.
Where the hell is he going to get leadership skills? He's busy talking all day. Are there night courses he could take? Or are you suggesting that he merely becomes more dictatorial?
Where the hell is he going to get leadership skills? He's busy talking all day. Are there night courses he could take? Or are you suggesting that he merely becomes more dictatorial?
Gee, that election still got you down, huh? Maybe there will be a recount? Shouldn't be hard to overturn the President's 5 million vote margin of victory. Maybe the President's Kentan birth certificate will surface?
Until then President Obama is the President of the United States and very far from any "dictator" you can name.
Taxing the top 2% DOES ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to solve our financial problems.
Zip, ZERO, nada.
It was an election con on the American people.
Yup, those millons who voted for Obama were "conned." Same for 2008 I guess?
Your theory is that adding revenue (taxes) does nothing to solve our financial problems? Hmmm, let's see? As an example, we add a triilion dollars in tax money to the coffers and that only snds us deeper into debt? Better example. A person is strapped with debt and suddenly inherits $100,000.00, and that makes his financial worse?
Just trying to figure out your logic -- other than the I hate Obama factor.
Also would like to know do both he and she trump-up these wild visions that have nothing to do with reality or do you do divide up the time on the keyboard and come up with collective fantasies?
The Signature Image wrote: Yup, those millons who voted for Obama were "conned." Same for 2008 I guess?
Your theory is that adding revenue (taxes) does nothing to solve our financial problems? Hmmm, let's see? As an example, we add a triilion dollars in tax money to the coffers and that only snds us deeper into debt? Better example. A person is strapped with debt and suddenly inherits $100,000.00, and that makes his financial worse?
Just trying to figure out your logic -- other than the I hate Obama factor.
Also would like to know do both he and she trump-up these wild visions that have nothing to do with reality or do you do divide up the time on the keyboard and come up with collective fantasies?
With all due respect, you are uninformed.
These revenue increases are so small they do NOTHING. They run the federal government for like 8 days.
It was just part of the dividing of America by President Obama. It was a con on the American people.
Please do some research and then come back and apologize to the group.
The Signature Image wrote: Yup, those millons who voted for Obama were "conned." Same for 2008 I guess?
Your theory is that adding revenue (taxes) does nothing to solve our financial problems? Hmmm, let's see? As an example, we add a triilion dollars in tax money to the coffers and that only snds us deeper into debt? Better example. A person is strapped with debt and suddenly inherits $100,000.00, and that makes his financial worse?
Just trying to figure out your logic -- other than the I hate Obama factor.
Also would like to know do both he and she trump-up these wild visions that have nothing to do with reality or do you do divide up the time on the keyboard and come up with collective fantasies?
With all due respect, you are uninformed.
These revenue increases are so small they do NOTHING. They run the federal government for like 8 days.
It was just part of the dividing of America by President Obama. It was a con on the American people.
Please do some research and then come back and apologize to the group.
Thanks! [/quote
1.6 trillion is what I read. If that is a weeks worth of government spending that's fine and its more money than we had before.
BTW, he/she you can save that "apologize to the group" crap for someone who cares. I only apologize to people I respect -- which does not include you.
Beyond Vanilla wrote: Where the hell is he going to get leadership skills? He's busy talking all day. Are there night courses he could take? Or are you suggesting that he merely becomes more dictatorial?
The Signature Image wrote: Gee, that election still got you down, huh? Maybe there will be a recount? Shouldn't be hard to overturn the President's 5 million vote margin of victory. Maybe the President's Kentan birth certificate will surface?
Until then President Obama is the President of the United States and very far from any "dictator" you can name.
Since this is a thread that YOU started, you should realize that it's not about election results, yet you seem to want to derail your own thread. I suppose it's easier to focus on election results than the credit rating, because, with all due respect, you clearly don't seem to understand how the country's credit rating works. Are Republicans to blame for your lack of understanding too?
OK it's obvious that some don't understand this stuff. This might help.
* U.S. Tax revenue: $2,170,000,000,000
* Fed budget: $3,820,000,000,000
* New debt: $ 1,650,000,000,000
* National debt: $14,271,000,000,000
* Recent budget cuts: $ 38,500,000,000
Let's now remove 8 zeros and pretend it's a household budget:
* Annual family income: $21,700
* Money the family spent: $38,200
* New debt on the credit card: $16,500
* Outstanding balance on the credit card: $142,710
* Total budget cuts so far: $38.50
OK now,
Lesson # 2: Here's another way to look at the Debt Ceiling:
Let's say, You come home from work and find
there has been a sewer backup in your neighborhood....
and your home has sewage all the way up to your ceilings.
Beyond Vanilla wrote: Let's say, You come home from work and find
there has been a sewer backup in your neighborhood....
and your home has sewage all the way up to your ceilings.
Beyond Vanilla wrote: OK it's obvious that some don't understand this stuff. This might help.
* U.S. Tax revenue: $2,170,000,000,000
* Fed budget: $3,820,000,000,000
* New debt: $ 1,650,000,000,000
* National debt: $14,271,000,000,000
* Recent budget cuts: $ 38,500,000,000
Let's now remove 8 zeros and pretend it's a household budget:
* Annual family income: $21,700
* Money the family spent: $38,200
* New debt on the credit card: $16,500
* Outstanding balance on the credit card: $142,710
* Total budget cuts so far: $38.50
First off, your "Total Budget Cuts So Far" should be $385, and not $38.50.
If I'm the head of household in that situation, I realize that a balanced, gradual approach must be taken to correct the situation. One thing that needs to happen is that all possibilities are on the table.
An increase in revenue is needed, as is a reduction in spending. Gosh, where is all the money being spent? Well, Grandma's medicine is costing us a lot each month, because her co-pay is very expensive. Hmm. We're also spending a lot on defense, because the neighbors are assholes and we need to make sure that our property is surrounded by ramparts and battlements. Ponder, ponder....
Acknowledge that the days of US supremacy are gone - you just cant afford it no more so:
Cut your foreign aid to Israel - the richest country in the region and the largest recipient of US aid. Would allow you to meet the 0.5% commitment just by feeding hungry people.
Stop fighting a holy war against Islam. You really get not benefit from the lsot was in Afghanistan or the failure of policy which was Iraq.
Reduce your military to a size needed for defense only - ie the real strong National Guard, excellent Coast Guard and a token Army and Navy.
Reduce your nations dependency on expensive foreign oil by taxing the crap out of owners of SUV's (really you dont need a 4.8L engine to drive around the same sort of cities the Europeans use 1.1L engines to navigate quite successfully).
Or cut welfare to single moms and their kids.
Your call as to which will make the bigger difference.
Hall Photo
Posts: 12,331
Boston, Massachusetts, US
Beyond Vanilla wrote: Are you suggesting that the credit rating of the US has no bearing on the amount of money that we print and/or borrow and that our ability to repay the debt isn't a consideration? It seems like that's your opinion. If so, it's wrong. Credit ratings are something lenders look at...the same as if you applied for a mortgage. Going deeper into debt, doesn't improve a credit rating. Printing more money doesn't improve a credit rating. Balancing a budget would help. Spending less helps. Borrowing less helps. Being solvent helps.
Your statement, "The US had an A credit rating until the GOP threatened not to raise the debt ceiling as which time our rating went to -A I believe?" clearly indicates that you have no clue as to what you are talking about. However, that doesn't prevent you from blaming the Republicans. S&P cut the United States to AA-plus from AAA on August 5, 2011...and because of discussions to raise the debt limit. Moody's and Fitch both currently rate the US as either AAA and Aaa respectively.
While I wouldn't say it has no impact, it's worth noting that on August 5, 2011, the yield on a 10-year Treasury was 2.58%. It immediately fell after that and hit a record low this July, making it easier for the government to sell its debt. As of yesterday, it stood at 1.77%.
Hall Photo
Posts: 12,331
Boston, Massachusetts, US
Beyond Vanilla wrote: OK it's obvious that some don't understand this stuff. This might help.
...
Let's now remove 8 zeros and pretend it's a household budget:
ZingArts wrote: We seriously NEED to go over the fiscal cliff. It forces us to then seek "reality" in future fiscal planning. Dumby Democrats are SO bend on spend and tax that it is ingrained in there party's demeanor. They can't shake it (but they sure do fake it).
There is ONLY one answer. Reduce spending... period.
Thank you for the sound of sanity. Finally. Someone proposed a simple common-sense approach.
The budget surplus had nothing to do with the debt. It simply means that more money was coming in than was going out. If the surplus had been applied to the debt, then the interest on the debt would have been reduced. If we had continued down that road for the last dozen years, the economy could have been much stronger. Instead, the incoming Bush Administration wanted tax cuts to reduce revenue, while funding two wars.
You might want to go look at the figures available at treasury.gov
And while you are at it, find out what spending isn't included in the "budget". Then you will understand what fiction our government tells us.
Virtual Studio wrote: Cut your foreign aid to Israel - the richest country in the region and the largest recipient of US aid.
Required by treaty. Courtesy of James Earl Carter. Congress can cut it and the Supreme Court would have to reinstate it.
Stop fighting a holy war against Islam. You really get not benefit from the lsot was in Afghanistan or the failure of policy which was Iraq.
Reduce your military to a size needed for defense only - ie the real strong National Guard, excellent Coast Guard and a token Army and Navy.
Reduce your nations dependency on expensive foreign oil by taxing the crap out of owners of SUV's (really you dont need a 4.8L engine to drive around the same sort of cities the Europeans use 1.1L engines to navigate quite successfully).
Or cut welfare to single moms and their kids.
Your call as to which will make the bigger difference.
And none of that would stop the deficit spending.
You could ELIMINATE all discretionary spending (what most people think of as the government) and not eliminate deficit spending.
In order to actually balance the budget, massive cuts MUST be made in Social Security, Medicare and Defense.