Forums > Off-Topic Discussion > Hurricane BUD heads up the west coast!
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Photographer

Worlds Of Water

Posts: 37732

Rancho Cucamonga, California, US

Lookin like Cabo San Lucas may be its first location for 'land impact'... yikes

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/sever … hurricanes

Jun 11 18 03:21 pm Link

Photographer

rfordphotos

Posts: 8866

Antioch, California, US

with any luck, Bud will drop below hurricane strength before it gets close to shore. Still, a large section of the coast is in for some very heavy rain and strong winds. Lets keep our fingers crossed.

I have found this site can be useful this time of year... the National Hurricane Center.

if you click around a bit, there is a decent (basic) look at both the Atlantic/Caribbean hurricanes:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?atlc

as well as the eastern north Pacific (off the Central American coast) :

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

Jun 11 18 03:39 pm Link

Photographer

Worlds Of Water

Posts: 37732

Rancho Cucamonga, California, US

WOW... so Cabo is lookin at some 40-50 winds RIGHT NOW... with a lot more intense stuff coming soon ... yikes

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi … 0#contents

Jun 11 18 04:11 pm Link

Photographer

Joe Tomasone

Posts: 12583

Spring Hill, Florida, US

rfordphotos wrote:
with any luck, Bud will drop below hurricane strength before it gets close to shore.

It's expected to weaken to 40mph sustained winds prior to landfall.

Jun 11 18 07:11 pm Link

Photographer

Worlds Of Water

Posts: 37732

Rancho Cucamonga, California, US

After looking at this forcast of BUD heading north, it looks as thou Cabo is in for some 50-60 MPH winds by tomorrow... yikes

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi … 0#contents

Jun 11 18 10:08 pm Link

Photographer

rfordphotos

Posts: 8866

Antioch, California, US

Select Models wrote:
After looking at this forcast of BUD heading north, it looks as thou Cabo is in for some 50-60 MPH winds by tomorrow... yikes

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi … 0#contents

"These graphics show probabilities of sustained (1-minute average) surface wind speeds equal to or exceeding 34 kt (39 mph)."

The way I read that graphic, it shows Cabo as having somewhere between a 30 to 50 PERCENT chance of winds equal to or exceeding 39mph...in the next 5 days.

Jun 11 18 11:34 pm Link

Photographer

Worlds Of Water

Posts: 37732

Rancho Cucamonga, California, US

rfordphotos wrote:
The way I read that graphic, it shows Cabo as having somewhere between a 30 to 50 PERCENT chance of winds equal to or exceeding 39mph...in the next 5 days.

As of today... that graphic has changed... with 50-60mph winds hitting Cabo as early as Wedneday AM... yikes

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi … 0#contents

I wouldn't normally be too concerned about a storm hitting Mexico... but the Nov 10th 'Cruiseboat Photoshoot' is gonna be traveling right thru that neighborhood... and I'd rather NOT wish to see that area destroyed by a hurricane... hmm

Jun 12 18 09:55 pm Link

Photographer

rfordphotos

Posts: 8866

Antioch, California, US

Select Models wrote:
As of today... that graphic has changed... with 50-60mph winds hitting Cabo as early as Wedneday AM... yikes

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi … 0#contents

I wouldn't normally be too concerned about a storm hitting Mexico... but the Nov 10th 'Cruiseboat Photoshoot' is gonna be traveling right thru that neighborhood... and I'd rather NOT wish to see that area destroyed by a hurricane... hmm

Well, the probabilities of winds over 39mph are at about 25%.

But that really isnt the issue.

They are going to get hit with steady winds, 35-40 mph over a wide area, with up to 5 inches of rain on the southern part of Baja. Coastal areas are going to get hit with some huge surf, with swells large enough  to be of concern in local marinas.

Tropical storm Bud is expected to continue losing strength. ( in the past 36 hours it has gone from a cat 4 hurricane to a weakening tropical storm)

Lets all keep a good thought in mind for the folks who are going to get hit with the storm.

Jun 13 18 11:14 am Link

Photographer

rfordphotos

Posts: 8866

Antioch, California, US

....

Jun 13 18 11:14 am Link

Photographer

Worlds Of Water

Posts: 37732

Rancho Cucamonga, California, US

rfordphotos wrote:
....

Totally agree lol... looks as thou it's condensing and moving inland towards the bay area.

Jun 13 18 03:55 pm Link

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